Orioles vs. Yankees
OVER 10 (-106). The Yankees aren’t an easy team to show confidence in, as they rank 27th in the league in runs scored the last 12 games, and as home favorites this year, they are a mediocre 24-22 (52.2%). But, the lineup of Gallo, Rizzo, Judge, Stanton and Sanchez can get RHP Lopez in a bind early with just a few good at bats. Lopez has allowed a .295 batting average against the Yankees this year to go along with an 8.44 ERA against them also.
On the flip side, LHP Heaney has the highest OPS against him at .902 in Yankee stadium on his career, with an 8.79 ERA. Although those starts were with the Angels, those numbers are hard to ignore. I like the over in a game between a new lineup with good history against a shaky starting pitcher who struggles to go five innings without giving up more than a couple of baserunners. Add on top of that Heaney not pitching great in the stadium and this one could easily go over.
Giants vs. Diamondbacks
Giants ML (-195). This matchup has been completely in favor of the Giants this season, as they have won nine of the ten games they have played against the Diamondbacks. RHP DeSclafani has two wins against them already this year with a 1.98 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and a .544 OPS against in 13 and one thirds innings. The Giants have been the best team to bet on this year in baseball, and I will continue to back them with splits this good against a division rival currently sitting with the worst record in baseball.
PARLAY +302 odds!
Brewers vs. Pirates
Brewers -1.5 (-110). The Brewers are 10-3 against the Pirates this year, and have outscored them 85-34 in those games. In the past week, the Brewers are first in the league with 40 runs scored, while the Pirates are 25th with just 17 runs scored. LHP Lauer is allowing a .176 batting average against the Pirates this year to further capitalize on their struggling offense without Adam Frazier. There is too much of a gap between these two teams on paper to not take the run line in this one.
Mets vs. Marlins
Mets -1.5 (+112). A battle between two offenses that have struggled this year. However, the Mets have turned it around slightly as of late, ranking ninth in the MLB with a .768 OPS in the past 28 days while the Marlins only have a .684 OPS, the worst in the National league. RHP Megill has a .502 OPS against and a 1.04 ERA in his last 26 innings pitched, so he will likely shut down a bad Marlins offense. RHP Alcantara has a 4.05 ERA in his last 20 innings pitched, with a .666 OPS against.