NFL Draft PROP BETS: First Overall Pick Odds, Over/Under Hooks, and more

It was only last year when I discovered that you could bet on props for the NFL Draft. It gives people like me a chance to put their research and analyst skills to the test!

BetMGM Odds

1st Overall Pick:

  • Aidan Hutchinson (-200)*
  • Evan Neal (+400)
  • Ikem Ekwonu (+500)
  • Kayvon Thibodeaux (+1500)
  • Charles Cross, Malik Willis, Travon Walker* (+4000)

Draft Position:

I. Ekwonu o3.5 (+125)* / u3.5 (-165)

K. Thibodeaux o5.5 (-145) / u5.5 (+110)

E. Neal o3.5 (-115)* / u3.5 (-115)

K. Hamilton o6.5 (-120) / u6.5 (-110)

A. Gardner o8.5 (+110) / u8.5 (-145)

First Quarterback Drafted:

  • M. Willis (-185)
  • K. Pickett (+195)
  • M. Corral (+1400)
  • S. Howell (+2000)*
  • D. Ridder (+2000)*

DraftKings Odds

1st Overall Pick:

  • A. Hutchinson (-290)
  • E. Neal (+550)*
  • I. Ekwonu (+750)*
  • K. Thibodeaux (+1500)
  • T. Walker (+2000)

Draft Position:

K. Thibodeaux o5.5 (-140)* / u5.5 (+110)

K. Hamilton o6.5 (-125) / u6.5 (-105)

E. Neal o3.5 (-125) / u3.5 (-105)*

A. Hutchinson o1.5 (+225) / u1.5 (-290)

I. Ekwonu o3.5 (+110) / u3.5 (-140)*

First QB Taken:

  • M. Willis (-175)*
  • K. Pickett (+195)
  • M. Corral (+1500)
  • S. Howell (+1500)*
  • D. Ridder (+2500)

First WR Selected:

  • G. Wilson (-110)
  • D. London (+150)
  • T. Burks (+800)
  • J. Williams (+900)
  • C. Olave (+950)

First RB Selected:

  • B. Hall (-175)
  • K. Walker III (+150)
  • I. Spiller (+600)
  • K. Williams (+1600)
  • D. Pierce (+2000)

Pittsburgh Steelers 2022 Mock Draft: Important Pieces Everywhere

Round 1, Pick 20

Kenyon Green, IOL, Texas A&M

Every single position on the Steelers offensive line could use an upgrade, so it would be wise to draft a lineman that has logged 35 college starts including every position other than center. Green has strong legs that allow him to move quickly and play with great strength, making him an asset on any run play.

This K. Green is a lot more promising than last years K. Green, and it wouldn’t take long for fans to see the impact he would have, benefitting N. Harris and making the job easier for whoever they have at QB.

Green has the athleticism and physical temperament to become an instant starter…

The Draft Network

Round 2, Pick 52

Damone Clark, LB, LSU

Last year’s poor run defense was a fault of many, however the inside linebackers rarely held up their end of the bargain. Clark plays with tremendous speed and instinct, racking up over 100 tackles and five sacks last season.

Additionally, he has the athleticism and tenacity to become a viable pass rusher, which could add a unique blend to his game, similar (but not to the magnitude) to M. Parsons for the Cowboys.

He uses his athletic traits to track and pursue ball-carriers and is a big reason why he ranks amongst the top in the nation in tackles for the 2021 football season.

The Draft Network

Round 3, Pick 84

Marcus Jones, CB, Houston

As of now, it is unknown how the Steelers will address free agent CB’s J. Haden and A. Witherspoon. I think at least one of them will leave, so grabbing much needed depth at a valuable position would be the right choice.

Jones is good in man coverage and has traits like length and instinct that make him a candidate for special teams and special assignments like slot covering or playing different sides of the ball. Yes, last season he got work in at WR and he didn’t look too bad. He could also be used as a kickoff or punt returner pending what happens elsewhere at the position.

Jones has the hips and feet to cover slippery slot receivers and the ballhawking instincts to make plays from zone

Lance Zierlein, NFL Draft Analyst

Round 4, Pick 137

Hassan Haskins, RB, Michigan

Now I know the RB in Pittsburgh is among the leagues best young stars, however the usage rate Najee Harris received last year was too much for him to sustain a ten plus year career. To put the cherry on top, backup RB’s B. Snell and K. Ballage were nothing more than bad last season.

Haskins runs with a fierce demeanor and has exceled at many positions and roles on a football field. Steelers have been linked to Michigan players for quite some time now, and I think they take an extremely solid RB to spell Harris.

Tack on his receiving upside, ball security, and his blocking utility, as well as his special teams experience, and you’re looking at a safe Day 3 pick.

Ian Cummings, Pro Football Network – Draft Analyst

Philadelphia Eagles 2022 Mock Draft: Matching Strength with Aggressiveness

Round 1, Pick 15

Drake London, WR, USC

Similar to last draft, PHI will be wise to take yet another WR in the first round. London will be a great compliment to D. Smith, a more polished and quick route runner whereas London has tremendous positioning and hands to secure big time plays.

London also competed on the USC basketball during his time there, which has translated to the confidence and ability to make those big time plays. I have even noticed it seems like it’s helped his navigation in traffic and reading defenders. Whoever is the QB for the next few years will greatly appreciate having this guy to throw to in crunch time or panic situations.

Round 1, Pick 16

Jordan Davis, DL, Georgia

Davis tested unlike anything we’ve ever seen before at his weight of 341 pounds. Adding him to the defense, for 15 plays a game or 45 plays a game, will immediately pay dividends.

He has incredible strength and burst to fill gaps and pursue ball carriers. There may be a lack of college production, but then again five or six of his defensive teammates will be taken in the first round of this years draft as well, so there were a lot of mouths to feed.

Round 1, Pick 19

George Karlaftis, EDGE, Purdue

With the third and final pick in the first round, PHI should opt to further improve that defensive line group by adding another physical and strong defender, this time along the edge in Karlaftis.

While not as flashy as others in this class, Karlaftis provides a high upside at not only a position of need but also a premium position in this years draft class. Getting to the QB is getting more and more important, so taking two pocket collapsers and run lane fillers will lift the PHI defense into a formidable defensive unit.

Round 2, Pick 51

Tyler Smith, IOL, Tulsa

If you ask around the league – you can never have too many interior offensive linemen. With the focus likely on the rushing attack and giving J. Hurts as much time as possible to read defenses, it makes sense to draft an aggressive and developmental prospect with tackle experience and a guard outlook.

I think working with the PHI offensive line group and playing within that style of offensive can allow Smith to stabilize a role for himself throughout his rookie year.

Round 3, Pick 83

Darrian Beavers, LB, Cincinnati

Beavers is an incredibly smart person, posting a 4.0 GPA in high school and has shown toughness and improvement throughout his college career. Sticking with the physical and aggressive theme throughout this draft; Beavers plays downhill well and absolutely loves the game of football and getting better at it. A pick that any team should be happy for, PHI grabs him to become a crucial part of a potential dynamic rookie defensive core.

2022 NFL Mock Draft: 3rd Edition (of 5)

Now that the NFL season has finished, each team has solidified their spot in the draft order and us fans can begin even more speculation. You can see my other mock drafts here, so as the draft process moves along you are able to see in real-time the changes of certain players and teams.

Keep in mind, these picks are what I think the teams should do, not what they will do.

Enjoy:

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
    • At least in this draft we genuinely don’t know who might get drafted first overall. Neal is a freak athlete that former #1 overall pick, QB Trevor Lawrence, will be thankful for going forward.
  2. Detroit Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan
    • He will be the local favorite, and Hutchinson should have immediate impact on an up and coming Lions roster. He matches the mold of what Detroit is trying to build.
  3. Houston Texans: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon
    • This might not be the direction that Houston takes, however it’s the direction the NFL is taking; edge rushers are extremely valuable. Thibodeaux has shown glimpses of being able to develop into a cornerstone on defense.
  4. New York Jets: Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
    • Saleh just can’t pass up a generational prospect in the secondary. Hamilton could have a Minkah Fitzpatrick-like ability to take away parts of the field and limit big plays.
  5. New York Giants: Ikem Ekwonu, OL, NC State
    • Pro-football Network’s Ian Cummings believes NYG need to spend at least one of their picks protecting Daniel Jones, so they grab a safe and versatile option on the offensive line in Ekwonu.
  6. Carolina Panthers: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
    • Sam Darnold has proven enough times that he is not worth starting for 17 games a season. Pickett is the safest QB and highly rated as the top QB in this class, as by draft analyst Ian Cummings.
  7. New York Giants (via CHI): Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
    • The highest drafted center in quite some time, Linderbaum and Ekwonu will anchor the offensive line for a generation. It’ll be easier to build a dynamic offense with these two players.
  8. Atlanta Falcons: Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
    • There’s a lot of directions to go here, and some Falcons fans believe the ‘best player available’ is the best option. Burks might not fit that mold, but he’ll fit nicely into that offense to add some more stability.
  9. Denver Broncos: Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
    • Even if Willis sits for a year, DEN can’t afford to not address the position in the off season. Willis has the best physical traits and talent of the QB’s in this years draft.
  10. New York Jets (via SEA): Travon Walker, EDGE, Georgia
    • They upgraded their secondary already this draft, so why not help out the first line of defense? Walker was a part of a historic college defense, so his college production might not tell the story. His athleticism and anticipation are off the charts for his size and position.
  11. Washington Football Team: Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia
    • One of if not the most impressive player during the bowl season, Dean looks ready to be a defensive leader. Adding his instincts and traits to a defense with good pieces already (just not at LB) will make a positive difference.
  12. Minnesota Vikings: Ahmad ‘Sauce’ Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
    • With a good showing against Alabama in his playoff game, Sauce Gardner could see his draft stock rise as high as MIN, who could use a game-ready corner.
  13. Cleveland Browns: Garret Wilson, WR, Ohio State
    • No doubt CLE needs a playmaker on the outside to replace what OBJ was supposed to be. Although they should primarily be a running team, getting a WR who can consistently get open and make contested catches might add another level to the offense.
  14. Baltimore Ravens: Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
    • This is about as far as Stingley would drop in this draft. BAL loves to have a good secondary, so adding the talent and potential of Stingley will make that easier without their def. coordinator.
  15. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA): George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue
    • The most exciting team in the draft this year starts their first round trio of picks with a much needed boost in the front seven. Karlaftis can wreak havoc on offensive tackles with his power and relentlessness.
  16. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND): Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
    • Yet again, PHI boosts their front seven on defense, because it just makes too much sense. Lloyd is the perfect player to boost a front seven – he’s good at tackling and plays downhill on the ball more often than not.
  17. Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
    • LAC cannot afford to pass up an upgrade to their horrific run defense. Davis will be an excellent wall for the defense and probably rotated in throughout the game situationally.
  18. New Orleans Saints: Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
    • With the current WR core of NO, there is no way they can pass up the skillset of Williams at this spot. If Winston comes back (which he should) he gets an explosive WR to air it out with.
  19. Philadelphia Eagles: Andrew Booth Jr, CB, Clemson
  20. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kenyon Green, OL, Texas A&M
    • With an offensive line as bad as PIT, taking the most versatile linemen in the draft is a no-brainer. If last year’s K. Green can earn a starting spot, this K. Green will be able to win a starting job at any position other than center.
  21. New England Patriots: Drake London, WR, USC
    • This just seems like a good fit for NE; Mac will have London to through to when under duress and/or in the redzone. A lot can change in an offense when one guy can get to so many catchable positions.
  22. Las Vegas Raiders: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
    • A deep WR class will start to make it’s run at some point in this draft. Olave was paired up with fellow first-rounder G. Wilson for his whole career, but breaking away from him could make Olave a bigger star, similar to Justin Jefferson’s storyline.
  23. Arizona Cardinals: Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
    • The ARI offense looks like it has the pieces to succeed, and McDuffie has many intangibles that can help win football games immediately.
  24. Dallas Cowboys: Bernhard Raimann, OL, Central Michigan
    • Traditionally DAL has a top tier offensive line, however they are trending away from that given their current age and skillsets at the position. They need to make a pick here to stabilize the offensive line for years.
  25. Buffalo Bills: Devonta Wyatt, DL, Georgia
    • If the top five WR’s are taken, don’t be surprised to see BUF boost their defensive line depth, which was put to the test (and failed) in their final game against KC. Wyatt would be the fourth member of last years Georgia team to be drafted in the first round.
  26. Tennessee Titans: Zion Johnson, OL, Boston College
  27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: David Ojabo, EDGE, Michigan
    • Ojabo falls in this mock more than most, due to his newness to the sport and overall raw potential. TB needs to generate more pressure without blitzing and Ojabo can make that happen.
  28. Green Bay Packers: Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
    • Well, a disappointing finish will certainly call for some changes in GB. For starters, they need someone to trust catching the ball other than Davante Adams, despite who may be throwing it to him.
  29. Miami Dolphins (via SF): Trevor Penning, OL, Northern Iowa
    • Penning being left here would be a blessing for the Dolphins, who get this pick from the 49ers. It would boost the offensive line talent immensely and immediately, which MIA has shown they desperately need.
  30. Kansas City Chiefs: Daxton Hill, S, Michigan
    • Mahomes and the new offensive line will be fine without taking an offensive player here. So, drafting a tremendous athlete that will hunt down the ball and cover in the slot can improve something else that struggled last year.
  31. Cincinnati Bengals: Sean Rhyan, OL, UCLA
  32. Detroit Lions (via LAR): Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
    • I couldn’t not include three QB’s in the first round, because I’ll probably place a bet near the draft at o2.5 taken. So, Corral gets to enjoy the bench for a year or so and then will inherit one of the leagues best young offensive line groups.

Just missed the first round:

Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina

Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington

Jermaine Johnson, EDGE, Florida State

Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida

Kenneth Walker III, RB, Michigan State University

Arnold Ebiketie, EDGE, Penn State

Derion Kendrick, CB, Georgia

Logan Hall, DT, Houston

Fantasy Football RB Dashboard: Compare 2-4 Players at Once

The most valuable position in fantasy each year is the running back due to limited workhorses and their consistent workload in every offense. While the best individual player for the position is a considerable and important debate, the importance of the position never goes underestimated.

Before indulging in this useful tool, be sure to have the same advantage when it comes to WR’s, QB’s and D/ST’s by checking out the WR Dashboard, QB Dashboard and D/ST Dashboard at the individual links within this text.

In similar fashion to my WR, QB, and D/ST dashboard , I developed another interactive dashboard that compares up to four RB’s stats from last year, all on the same visual charts for easy comparison and reference:

If the charts don’t appear in the visible window, try moving around the view within the window (sometimes it gives users a default selection of a cell that is out of view of the charts). If there are further problems accessing the charts or navigating the tabs, the next best thing is to download the real file for Excel.

There is a download link for that file of the dashboard for those interested. I recommend downloading as it’s a bit easier to navigate with more space and full functionality, however the benefit can be seen on mobile or desktop devices straight from this webpage.

Fantasy Football WR Dashboard: Compare 2-4 Players at Once

If you have ever wanted an easy and visual way to compare players’ stats, you are on the right part of the internet. I created an interactive dashboard that allows users to filter a set of charts to feature comparable statistics of up to 4 WR’s at a time. The file is available for download at the end of this page, but there is a usable version right here:

The value in this comes from differentiating between WR’s who are more heavily focused and those who take advantage of more opportunities. As long as situational factors are kept in context, this dashboard is an incredible tool to use when compiling fantasy football rankings and settling arguments with the click of a few buttons.

Examples

To better understand how to use the dashboard and how to interpret some results you may see from it, I have included a few screen shots of different player comparisons as well as the commentary to go along with it. To select more than one player, hold control (Windows) or command (Apple) down while clicking multiple players names.

Diggs appears to be a main option when BUF needs to score, yet Waddle averages more points per target, has a higher catch percentage and hauled in more receptions. The ideology that Metcalf is a ‘all-or-nothing’ WR is somewhat visible here given his high touchdowns and yards per reception. But next year he will be rated lower than both of those WR’s (in PPR fantasy), and these charts back that up.
The trio of WR that made it to the super bowl are generally not the WR’s you’ll be comparing most of the time, but this shows additional data that proves what doesn’t need to be said; Chase is the best WR on the team and leads in many statistics, Boyd is the slot WR that moves the chains and Higgins can be a superstar at times.

The BEST Player for The next Pittsburgh Steelers starting QB

Mason Rudolph? Marcus Mariota? Jimmy Garoppolo? Jameis Winston? Or a rookie…

QB Ben Roethlisberger gave 18 hall of fame seasons to the Steelers, and replacing him will likely be the hardest replacement ever for the franchise. The realistic options for next year’s starting QB job in Pittsburgh are as follows and NOT in any order:

  • Kenny Pickett
  • Malik Willis
  • Sam Howell
  • Matt Corral
  • Mason Rudolph
  • Jimmy Garoppolo
  • Jameis Winston
  • Marcus Mariota
  • Mitch Trubisky
  • Russell Wilson

Here is how some of these QB’s compare in their last ten games started (Mason Rudolph’s sample size):

Players on these graphs are used as reference points and comparison; sorted from lowest QB rating (Rudolph) to highest (Burrow – good standard for franchise QB).
These two graphs together show a clear difference between what the Steelers’ options are and what they’re looking for.

This list has some talented QB’s and some not so talented QB’s. The craziest thing is that I think the best player for the job is one of the lesser talented names on the entire list… Factoring in everything that the Steelers front office should (like contract, familiarity, and draft capital) the best QB for the Steelers in 2022 is…

Odds provided by OddsChecker.

1- Mason Rudolph (+250)

This will make someone rage click off this page I’m sure of it. But hear me out; Rudolph has one of the best things an NFL team could ask for – a QB on a rookie deal. The resources saved by locking in Rudolph as next years starter could and should be used to acquire smaller pieces for a roster that desperately needs better pieces.

Not only that, but the Steelers (and most teams) will not be jumping at the opportunity to take more risk than they have to. Rudolph has shown the staff and fans everything that he can and cannot do on the football field with the current offense, which should make it possible to game plan around his strengths and weaknesses. Whereas bringing in anyone will require somewhat of an adjustment and the QB performance might be negatively affected as a result.

2- Mitchell Trubisky (+1600)

Again, I’m probably not making a bunch of sense right now. But hear me out again; Trubisky just sat one year behind arguably the most talented QB in the world right now. The graph at the beginning shows one thing; his statistics look better than the others, namely his combination of rush yards per game, total touchdowns, completion percentage and touchdown percentage.

Based on current contract values, Trubisky will be cheaper than M. Mariota, J. Winston, A. Dalton and T. Bridgewater. He satisfies Tomlin’s desire for a mobile QB while actually improving the overall effectiveness of the offense, compared to Big Ben or Mason Rudolph.

3- Jameis Winston (+900)

Probably the most expensive name on the free agent list, I believe Winston can build off of his productive half-year in New Orleans. The stats don’t lie, and they tell us that Winston is truly the ‘all or nothing’ type of QB with a great ability to score touchdowns…and also the ability to ‘waste a pass’ (interception or incompletion).

That’s not exactly what the Steelers would sign him to be though, as he grew more patient and anticipated better throughout his time in New Orleans. He would only be brought in if other big upgrades were made to positions like WR and OL.

4- Malik Willis (+1400)

Here’s the first rookie, finally! The reason I don’t have any rookie higher than four is because I don’t think the better QB’s in the class will be available at pick 20, and I don’t see PIT trading up for any of them.

However if they did trade up, to get Willis, it would probably not be to sit him for a year, right? I would have to assume given his potential that they’re able to design an offense that he’s able to adapt to considering the offensive scheme they tried to run with the total opposite QB of Willis (Big Ben).

5- Sam Howell (+1800)

Oh another rookie? This rookie is (probably) the most pro-ready QB in the class, given his accuracy, experience and athleticism. Although I don’t like to put too much weight on this; Kevin Colbert and the scouting department have watched Sam Howell the most throughout the season/off-season. A real possibility could be the top five lineman are gone and the top two or three QB’s are gone, in either case might prompt PIT to draft Howell for safety and needs.

6- Marcus Mariota (+1300)

Mariota is probably dying to get the chance to start again, but even if he were to come to PIT, something tells me it would still be a battle between him and Rudolph for the entirety of preseason.

Although he could help boost the running game with his mobility, he hasn’t gotten the chance to do that in a while and his speed/elusiveness may be on the decline given his age. However, he has shown the ability to take care of the football and that could prove to be all a team needs from their QB.

7- Jimmy Garoppolo (+750)

Garoppolo has been discussed the most heavily in connection with PIT’s starting QB next season (at least among free agents). While he might have the innate ability to pull out wins and command a powerful offense, it isn’t as clear how much of that was because of him, rather than despite him. The price tag and expectations would far exceed the offensive productivity with him and the current scheme.

8- Matt Corral (+1200)

I won’t lie I think Corral would be fun to watch in PIT. He’d likely use his legs as much as he needed, and that in itself would give the offense a different type of style for the foreseeable future. Not sure how serious his injury is, but even if he’s fully healthy he doesn’t have the most prototypical frame of an NFL QB and will likely undergo A LOT of pressure if PIT drafts him in the first round. If it happens I wouldn’t surprise if Corral sat behind Rudolph to at least start the season.

9- Russel Wilson (+1200)

Well, Wilson is easily the most proven and valuable QB on this list, and adding an escape artist QB who throws one of the best deep ball passes in the game would instantly make the offense more explosive given their QB immobility last year and lack of deep ball success.

What’s important to keep in mind though is Wilson would cost at least two first-round picks and maybe even a player. The roster isn’t constructed to spend as much as possible on a QB when other pieces are needed yet would be forfeited with the acquisition of Wilson.

10- Kenny Pickett (+900)

Now this is NOT me saying Pickett is the worst QB on this list, please keep that in mind! As it stands now, I’m willing to bet that there’s a 99% chance Pickett gets drafted inside the top-15 and that would mean PIT sacrificing draft capital and/or players to jump up and select him.

I like the chemistry Pickett would have with offensive coordinator Matt Canada, however no amount of chemistry can fix the offensive line that would be in a state of unknown heading into next season, especially if a QB is taken in round one and not a lineman.

There are many paths for the Pittsburgh Steelers to find their next QB, whether it be for one year or the next ten. There are pros and cons to each of their options and a lot of the decisions will likely come down to cost and risk. Mason Rudolph should be the starting QB next year, because he is the lowest-risk option on this list and is also the cheapest while he’s still on his rookie contract.

With that being said, if the objective is to look at the odds and make money on this situation; my bets are going to be placed on Mason Rudolph ($5), Marcus Mariota ($1), and Sam Howell ($1). I wouldn’t take them though until more of the draft process gets going, as that will tell the fans a lot about who is focused on who.

NFL Draft Guide: 2022 Resources + Information

Location: Allegiant Stadium – Paradise, Nevada

Platforms: NFL Network, ABC, ESPN

UPDATED Team Draft Order (link)

Team Needs (link)

Top Prospects (PFF)

Top Prospects (D.J.)

Top Players at Each Position (PFF)

Latest Mock Drafts: (check date on individual article)

All Time Bets

PFF

Sporting News

Walter Football

Daniel Jeremiah

Draft Ace

Individual Team Drafts

Jacksonville Jaguars (1, 33, 65, 70, 106, 157, 180, 188, 198, 199, 246): A Mix of Everything They Need

Detroit Lions (2, 32, 34, 66, 97, 177, 181, 218, 235): Edge Rushers for the Lions

Houston Texans (3, 13, 37, 68, 80, 108, 183, 206, 206, 246): Secondary or Pass Rush Early?

New York Jets (4, 10, 35, 38, 69, 111, 117, 146, 163): Both Lines Get a Boost

New York Giants (5, 7, 36, 67, 81, 112, 147, 173, 182): Help Both Sides of the Line

Carolina Panthers (6, 137, 144, 149, 200, 243): Trade For Value

Atlanta Falcons (8, 43, 58, 74, 82, 114, 151, 190, 214): Grab Talent and Develop

Denver Broncos: (64, 75, 96, 115, 145, 207,k] 233): Protect Russ and Support the Defense

Washington Football Team (11, 47, 113, 189, 231, 241): Adding to the Defensive Core

Minnesota Vikings (12, 46, 77, 156, 184, 191, 192, 251): Best Available?

Cleveland Browns (44, 78, 99, 107, 118, 203, 224, 247): Adding to the Defense

Baltimore Ravens (14, 45, 76, 100, 110, 119, 128, 139, 141, 197):

Philadelphia Eagles (15, 16, 19, 51, 83, 124, 154, 162, 166, 194): Taking Chances with So Many Picks

Los Angeles Chargers (17, 79, 123, 160, 195, 215, 237, 255, 256, 261):

New Orleans Saints (18, 49, 98, 101, 120, 161, 238): Rookie QB to Help Cap Space

Pittsburgh Steelers (20, 52, 84, 138, 209, 226, 242):

New England Patriots (21, 54, 85, 127, 170, 201, 211): Get Mac and Bill Some Help

Las Vegas Raiders (86, 126, 164, 165, 228):

Arizona Cardinals (23, 55, 87, 202, 216, 245, 257, 258):

Dallas Cowboys (24, 56, 88, 129, 155, 167, 176, 178, 193): All the Potential

Buffalo Bills (25, 57, 89, 130, 168, 185, 204, 232):

Tennessee Titans (26, 90, 131, 143, 169, 205, 220): The Next AJ Brown?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (27, 60, 91, 133, 249, 262): Preparing For More of the Same

Green Bay Packers (22, 28, 53, 59, 92, 132, 120, 171, 229, 250, 259): Offense or Nothing

Miami Dolphins (29, 50, 102, 121, 125, 158, 225, 248): Trade Down for More Offense

Kansas City Chiefs (30, 62, 94, 103, 234, 244, 252, 260)

Cincinnati Bengals (31, 63, 95, 136, 174, 210, 227, 253)

Chicago Bears (39, 48, 71, 148, 150, 186): Protect Justin Fields

Seattle Seahawks (9, 40, 41, 72, 109, 152, 153, 230):

Indianapolis Colts (42, 73, 122, 159, 179, 217, 240):

San Francisco 49ers (61, 93, 105, 134, 172, 187, 221, 222, 263):

Los Angeles Rams (104, 142, 175, 212, 213, 219, 239, 254):

Take A Shot If…

  • A QB gets drafted in the top ten
  • A trade is made within the top ten
  • Someone mentions Baker Mayfield and Odell Beckham Jr.
  • There’s a Big Ben jersey
  • Antonio Brown is shown running shirtless off the field during game
  • A girlfriend of a player starts crying
  • The broadcast brings up a traumatizing experience of a player

NFL Same-game PARLAYS: Wild Card Weekend – SATURDAY

Thanks to FanDuel’s same-game parlay promotion, I will be placing $200 on same game parlays over the course of the Wild Card Playoff weekend to receive $100 of credit back, regardless if my parlays win or lose.

LV vs. CIN (+524):

J. Chase TD Scorer, +100

D. Carr u257.5 pass yards, -114

Alt points u51.5, -150

LV vs. CIN (+482):

D. Waller o59.5 rec yards, -110

2H Total Points o23.5, -112

J. Chase o70.5 rec yards, -110

Reflection: The first half of this game is what I expected the second half to look like, with 33 points scored. I anticipated OAK being down some and relying on their passing game and chunk plays from Waller, which they got on occasion but not enough. Ja’Marr Chase is a top ten WR in the NFL, and his receiving props should be set at 100 every week, if not more.

NE vs. BUF (+499):

D. Harris TD Scorer, +120

J. Allen o243.5 pass yards, -114

C. Beasley o33.5 rec yards, -110

NE vs. BUF (+609):

D. Knox u32.5 rec yards, -110

D. Singletary u59.5 rush yards, -110

M. Jones u204.4 pass yards, -110

NFL Playoffs – Wild Card Bets, Previews, Stats: Underdogs and Money Lines; peas and carrots

Enjoy these short paragraphs for my reasoning on betting these teams this weekend:

NE ML (+170)

I’ll put my money on Bill Belichick in the playoffs against a divisional team he just lost to a few weeks ago. BUF might have the advantage on offense and even overall defensive unit, but NE can scheme up defenses that makes QB’s see ghosts. If J. Allen makes big throws like he did in their last matchup, BUF has a much greater chance at winning. I expect NE to control the game and keep BUF uncomfortable.

Reflection: Well, Josh Allen and the Bills played a literal perfect game. No punts, field goals, or turnovers. All touchdowns. Every time they wanted to score a TD, they did. Take my money.

SF ML (+150)

I always enjoy placing money on good offenses. SF leads the NFL in yards per play at 6.1, followed third by DAL at 6.0. Needless to say the offenses in this matchup are efficient. However, DAL is the worst team in the NFL at committing penalties (on both sides of the ball) and we all know how pivotal a pass interference or holding can be to a game. SF has the kicking advantage which could be a deciding factor in a closely rated matchup such as this one.

Reflection: This one felt a little too mainstream by the time the game rolled around, and SF did exactly what they needed to in order to win; establish the run, limit DAL offense and get creative. Almost gave up a crucial comeback attempt, but prevailed nonetheless.

ARI ML (+155)

We know this ‘upset’ is possible because it has already been done earlier in the year. I know it was early and these teams are at much different places now, however it’s still a divisional game in the playoffs that makes me think it will be closely matched. Would Kingsbury be on the hot seat if they lose this one?

Total Risk: $30
Total Return (so far): $25

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