March Madness 2022 – Picks and Predictions for EVERY Game

One of the most wonderful times of the year; march madness in college basketball. As a fan of many sports, I can confidently say there’s not much like the first weekend’s onslaught of games seemingly non stop.

So, to give myself extra rooting interest in every game that I watch, I decided to pick every single game of the first round against the spread. This idea has been done before so I am no pioneer, but it makes for fun engagement and as previously mentioned it gives me a little bit of rooting interest.

Here is the disclaimer though; I am not placing actual wagers on these matchups, and a strategy of betting every game in a sport usually doesn’t work well. My goal is to get either 50% of these picks correct or break even on my bankroll.

Predictions for Every Game:

Thursday, March 17th:

Boise St vs. Memphis -2.5 (-110)

Baylor vs. Norfolk St +22 (-110)

North Carolina -2.5 (-130) vs. Marquette

Kentucky -16.5 (-127) vs. Saint Peters

St Mary’s vs. Indiana +3 (-110)

San Diego State -2.5 (+100) vs. Creighton

Arkansas -5 (-110) vs. Vermont

Murray St ML (-115) vs. San Francisco

UCLA vs. Akron +15 (-148)

Kansas vs. Texas Southern +22.5 (-110)

Colorado St. ML (+105) vs. Michigan

Uconn -6.5 (-110) vs. New Mexico St

Iowa vs. Richmond +10.5 (-110)

Providence -2 (-110) vs. South Dakota St

Gonzaga -22.5 (-110) vs. Georgia State

Tennessee vs. Longwood +18.5 (-110)

Friday, March 18th:

Auburn -15.5 (-110) vs. Jacksonville State

Texas Tech vs. Montana State +14.5 (+105)

Purdue -16.5 (+105) vs. Yale

Villanova vs. Delaware +15.5 (-110)

USC vs. Miami ML (+110)

Alabama -4 (-110) vs. Notre Dame

Texas ML (-110) vs. Virginia Tech

Illinois -7.5 (-110) vs. Chattanooga

Duke -17 (-143) vs. CSU Fullerton

LSU vs. Iowa State ML (+160)

Arizona vs. Wright State +21.5 (-110)

Houston -10 (+120) vs. UAB

Wisconsin vs. Colgate +8 (-110)

March Madness: Comparing Seeds, Analyzing Statistics with Kenpom.com

Deciding who to pick in each game of a 67-game tournament is exceedingly difficult, but I have created an interactive dashboard that displays offense and defense efficiency for each tournament team. I highly recommend checking it out near the end (it’s FREE).

You can use this tool to decide which teams could be on upset alert, which games are evenly matched, and/or which top tier teams have what it takes to win it all. By being able to filter based on team, the analysis possibilities are endless with this dashboard.

To use, simply scroll below, select two or more teams from the left-side filter, and interpret the data shown on the graph. Here is an example of what can be done, viewing the top five teams according to kenpom.com:

This unique comparison likely won’t be needed until the final four, however it’s still evident that Gonzaga & Arizona are not just among the best with their offense, they run their offenses extremely fast. Remember, higher score is better for offense, but lower score is better for defense, similar to an actual basketball game. That would indicate how dominant Gonzaga has been – their gap between offense and defense is noticeably wider than anyone else in the top five, so they’d be able to match the pace of Arizona while limiting more of their opportunities.

(Keep in mind it looks messy at first until you select two teams. To select multiple teams on Windows, hold ‘control’ as you select each team. On Mac, hold ‘command’ as you select each team. On mobile, swipe each team name box to the right (towards the graph) to add to the visual.

Now, try it for yourself!

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