NFL Free Bets – Week 2

MIA +3.5 (-110)

T. Hill and J. Waddle are a perfect compliment to a great running scheme. BAL is susceptible to the run, and might not have the manpower to go one on one with MIA top guys. Phins keep it close to the ugly birds.

Reflection: An offensive performance I doubt anyone predicted, Tua and MIA won outright against BAL thanks to his 5 TD passes and an incredible comeback. Lamar was nearly perfect but the BAL defense really stunk it up to hand MIA a comeback win.

NYG -2.5 (-110)

Offensively, NYG looks like they have the talent to put up some crooked numbers, especially on the ground. Given the problems CAR just had against the run, I wouldn’t be surprised to see that continue. Saquon can burst at any time!!

Reflection: A game as boring as it looked on paper, managed to play out exactly how Vegas wanted it to. NYG and CAR kept the game close the entire time and a massive FG won it late. Defenses played well, particularly CAR, who just couldn’t manage to win the time of possession due to turnovers.

NYJ ML (+210)

CLE has a good rushing attack, just like BAL did before the Jets played great against that area. This game could come down to a field goal at the last second.

Reflection: I’m going to continue betting moneyline underdogs when I think they got a chance! CLE played well but really just let NYJ back in the game, and they just kept feeding their two-headed RB monster as well as the young stud G. Wilson. A. Cooper was a force for CLE, even without a star QB, and Chubb/Hunt duo did what they will likely do every week.

TB ML (-155)

Gotta be a trap, because Tom Brady can have an offense comfortably control a game despite not playing well. NO have dominated him though, so don’t be surprised if they figure out a way to slow him down or keep him off the field (even better).

Reflection: Tom Brady is the best person to bet on ever, I’m pretty sure that would be a correct statistic but that’s also my personal experience. I am 5-0 when betting on TB12.

SEA +10 (-110)

Geno Smith is 10-0 against the spread in his last 10 games, I gotta ride that! Anyways, the 49ers somehow let a lead slip away against a pretty young and questionable athletes on CHI roster, making me think perhaps their young and questionable athlete is not ready to lead an NFL team. Backdoor cover at the least.

Reflection: A game that included the unfortunate loss of young QB T. Lance, who was lined up to be the next young generational QB. SF dominated the game regardless, winning by 20. However, J. Garrapollo did everything that he does in order to win football games (rating over 100).

CIN -7.5 (-110)

I’m doubtful that any defense will replicate the game against CIN that PIT did last week, and they’ll be hungry to assert their dominance. Why not roll with a good team after a loss?

Reflection: Super Bowl hangover? Losing to M. Trubisky and C. Rush are not great talking points at practice or team meetings. CIN offensive line was the problem when J. Burrow got injured two years ago, it was the problem during the Super Bowl last year, and the offensive line proved again in this game that they are still a liability, giving up six sacks and less than four yards per carry.

TEN +10 (-110)

Let’s not forget that sometimes D. Henry just totally takes over a game. I’m thinking that TEN is going to be a below average team this year, however I think for a game like this they will be prepared for. Feed the machine.

Reflection: BUF is insanely good, they’ve won 16 straight games by 10+ points. TEN didn’t stand a chance with their limited roster talent.

PHI -2 (-110)

If J. Hurts can make good throwing decisions and keep using his mobility for first downs and scores, this PHI team is good enough to go a long way this season. I am going to imagine a quick pass to D. Smith early in the game to get him involved after getting no action last week.

Reflection: The addition of A. Brown seems to be a good fit for J. Hurts, who used him to get comfortable and start finding other guys like Watkins and Smith throughout the game. Hurts also ran the ball as well as any QB, and he looks to be big and strong enough to take the hits and punish defensive backs for going low.

Parlay: NYG, CIN, BUF (+166)

2022 NFL Mock Draft: 3rd Edition (of 5)

Now that the NFL season has finished, each team has solidified their spot in the draft order and us fans can begin even more speculation. You can see my other mock drafts here, so as the draft process moves along you are able to see in real-time the changes of certain players and teams.

Keep in mind, these picks are what I think the teams should do, not what they will do.

Enjoy:

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Evan Neal, OT, Alabama
    • At least in this draft we genuinely don’t know who might get drafted first overall. Neal is a freak athlete that former #1 overall pick, QB Trevor Lawrence, will be thankful for going forward.
  2. Detroit Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, EDGE, Michigan
    • He will be the local favorite, and Hutchinson should have immediate impact on an up and coming Lions roster. He matches the mold of what Detroit is trying to build.
  3. Houston Texans: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon
    • This might not be the direction that Houston takes, however it’s the direction the NFL is taking; edge rushers are extremely valuable. Thibodeaux has shown glimpses of being able to develop into a cornerstone on defense.
  4. New York Jets: Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
    • Saleh just can’t pass up a generational prospect in the secondary. Hamilton could have a Minkah Fitzpatrick-like ability to take away parts of the field and limit big plays.
  5. New York Giants: Ikem Ekwonu, OL, NC State
    • Pro-football Network’s Ian Cummings believes NYG need to spend at least one of their picks protecting Daniel Jones, so they grab a safe and versatile option on the offensive line in Ekwonu.
  6. Carolina Panthers: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
    • Sam Darnold has proven enough times that he is not worth starting for 17 games a season. Pickett is the safest QB and highly rated as the top QB in this class, as by draft analyst Ian Cummings.
  7. New York Giants (via CHI): Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
    • The highest drafted center in quite some time, Linderbaum and Ekwonu will anchor the offensive line for a generation. It’ll be easier to build a dynamic offense with these two players.
  8. Atlanta Falcons: Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
    • There’s a lot of directions to go here, and some Falcons fans believe the ‘best player available’ is the best option. Burks might not fit that mold, but he’ll fit nicely into that offense to add some more stability.
  9. Denver Broncos: Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
    • Even if Willis sits for a year, DEN can’t afford to not address the position in the off season. Willis has the best physical traits and talent of the QB’s in this years draft.
  10. New York Jets (via SEA): Travon Walker, EDGE, Georgia
    • They upgraded their secondary already this draft, so why not help out the first line of defense? Walker was a part of a historic college defense, so his college production might not tell the story. His athleticism and anticipation are off the charts for his size and position.
  11. Washington Football Team: Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia
    • One of if not the most impressive player during the bowl season, Dean looks ready to be a defensive leader. Adding his instincts and traits to a defense with good pieces already (just not at LB) will make a positive difference.
  12. Minnesota Vikings: Ahmad ‘Sauce’ Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
    • With a good showing against Alabama in his playoff game, Sauce Gardner could see his draft stock rise as high as MIN, who could use a game-ready corner.
  13. Cleveland Browns: Garret Wilson, WR, Ohio State
    • No doubt CLE needs a playmaker on the outside to replace what OBJ was supposed to be. Although they should primarily be a running team, getting a WR who can consistently get open and make contested catches might add another level to the offense.
  14. Baltimore Ravens: Derek Stingley Jr., CB, LSU
    • This is about as far as Stingley would drop in this draft. BAL loves to have a good secondary, so adding the talent and potential of Stingley will make that easier without their def. coordinator.
  15. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA): George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue
    • The most exciting team in the draft this year starts their first round trio of picks with a much needed boost in the front seven. Karlaftis can wreak havoc on offensive tackles with his power and relentlessness.
  16. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND): Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
    • Yet again, PHI boosts their front seven on defense, because it just makes too much sense. Lloyd is the perfect player to boost a front seven – he’s good at tackling and plays downhill on the ball more often than not.
  17. Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
    • LAC cannot afford to pass up an upgrade to their horrific run defense. Davis will be an excellent wall for the defense and probably rotated in throughout the game situationally.
  18. New Orleans Saints: Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
    • With the current WR core of NO, there is no way they can pass up the skillset of Williams at this spot. If Winston comes back (which he should) he gets an explosive WR to air it out with.
  19. Philadelphia Eagles: Andrew Booth Jr, CB, Clemson
  20. Pittsburgh Steelers: Kenyon Green, OL, Texas A&M
    • With an offensive line as bad as PIT, taking the most versatile linemen in the draft is a no-brainer. If last year’s K. Green can earn a starting spot, this K. Green will be able to win a starting job at any position other than center.
  21. New England Patriots: Drake London, WR, USC
    • This just seems like a good fit for NE; Mac will have London to through to when under duress and/or in the redzone. A lot can change in an offense when one guy can get to so many catchable positions.
  22. Las Vegas Raiders: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
    • A deep WR class will start to make it’s run at some point in this draft. Olave was paired up with fellow first-rounder G. Wilson for his whole career, but breaking away from him could make Olave a bigger star, similar to Justin Jefferson’s storyline.
  23. Arizona Cardinals: Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
    • The ARI offense looks like it has the pieces to succeed, and McDuffie has many intangibles that can help win football games immediately.
  24. Dallas Cowboys: Bernhard Raimann, OL, Central Michigan
    • Traditionally DAL has a top tier offensive line, however they are trending away from that given their current age and skillsets at the position. They need to make a pick here to stabilize the offensive line for years.
  25. Buffalo Bills: Devonta Wyatt, DL, Georgia
    • If the top five WR’s are taken, don’t be surprised to see BUF boost their defensive line depth, which was put to the test (and failed) in their final game against KC. Wyatt would be the fourth member of last years Georgia team to be drafted in the first round.
  26. Tennessee Titans: Zion Johnson, OL, Boston College
  27. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: David Ojabo, EDGE, Michigan
    • Ojabo falls in this mock more than most, due to his newness to the sport and overall raw potential. TB needs to generate more pressure without blitzing and Ojabo can make that happen.
  28. Green Bay Packers: Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
    • Well, a disappointing finish will certainly call for some changes in GB. For starters, they need someone to trust catching the ball other than Davante Adams, despite who may be throwing it to him.
  29. Miami Dolphins (via SF): Trevor Penning, OL, Northern Iowa
    • Penning being left here would be a blessing for the Dolphins, who get this pick from the 49ers. It would boost the offensive line talent immensely and immediately, which MIA has shown they desperately need.
  30. Kansas City Chiefs: Daxton Hill, S, Michigan
    • Mahomes and the new offensive line will be fine without taking an offensive player here. So, drafting a tremendous athlete that will hunt down the ball and cover in the slot can improve something else that struggled last year.
  31. Cincinnati Bengals: Sean Rhyan, OL, UCLA
  32. Detroit Lions (via LAR): Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
    • I couldn’t not include three QB’s in the first round, because I’ll probably place a bet near the draft at o2.5 taken. So, Corral gets to enjoy the bench for a year or so and then will inherit one of the leagues best young offensive line groups.

Just missed the first round:

Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina

Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington

Jermaine Johnson, EDGE, Florida State

Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida

Kenneth Walker III, RB, Michigan State University

Arnold Ebiketie, EDGE, Penn State

Derion Kendrick, CB, Georgia

Logan Hall, DT, Houston

2022 NFL Mock Draft: Round One, 2nd Edition (of 5)

A couple of things should make for this mock draft to be more accurate and fulfilling than last December. First, the college bowl games have been played (or cancelled in some cases), giving scouts another chance to evaluate players’ attributes.

Additionally, the draft order is further along to being set. There is still one week left in the NFL season, however there’s a few less possibilities now that teams have just one game remaining.

  1. Jacksonville Jaguars: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon
  2. Detroit Lions: Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
  3. Houston Texans: Derek Stingley Jr, CB, LSU
  4. New York Jets: Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
  5. New York Giants: Evan Neal, OL, Alabama
  6. Carolina Panthers: Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
  7. New York Jets (via SEA): Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
  8. New York Giants (via CHI): Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
  9. Washington Football Team: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
  10. Atlanta Falcons: Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia
  11. Denver Broncos: Sam Howell, QB, North Carolina
  12. Minnesota Vikings: Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinnati
  13. Cleveland Browns: Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio state
  14. Philadelphia Eagles (via MIA): Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama
  15. New Orleans Saints: George Karlafits, DE, Purdue
  16. Baltimore Ravens: Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
  17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Bernhard Raimann, OT, Central Michigan University
  18. Las Vegas Raiders: Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
  19. Philadelphia Eagles: David Ojabo, OLB, Michigan
  20. Los Angeles Chargers: Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
  21. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND): Drake Jackson, EDGE, USC
  22. Miami Dolphins (via SF): Kenyon Green, OL, Texas A&M
  23. New England Patriots: Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
  24. Arizona Cardinals: Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
  25. Buffalo Bills: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
  26. Cincinnati Bengals: Sean Rhyan, IOL, UCLA
  27. Dallas Cowboys: Daxton Hill, S, Michigan
  28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Trent McDuffie, CB, Washington
  29. Kansas City Chiefs: Jaquan Brisker, S, Penn State
  30. Detroit Lions (via LAR): Drake London, WR, USC
  31. Tennessee Titans: Trevor Penning, OT, Northern Iowa
  32. Green Bay Packers: Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia

Just missed the first round:

  • DeMarvin Leal, DE/DT, Texas A&M
  • Jermaine Johnson, DE, Florida State
  • A. Booth Jr, CB, Clemson
  • Malik Willis, QB, Liberty
  • Jahan Dotson, WR, Penn State
  • Darian Kinnard, OL, Kentucky

2022 NFL Mock Draft: Round One,1st Edition (of many)

The most speculative time of the year is nearing again, so it’s only right that we make predictions about an event that won’t happen for another five months!

As I created this mock draft, I decided on the player I believe to have the best potential for impact now and in future years for each team, given their roster, performance and draft history. This is in no way a ranking of player skill levels, only an educated guess on each organization’s million-dollar decision.

  1. Detroit Lions: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon
  2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Evan Neal, OL, Alabama
  3. Houston Texans: Matt Corral, QB, Ole Miss
  4. New York Jets: Kyle Hamilton, S, Notre Dame
  5. New York Jets (via SEA): Ikem Ekwonu, OT, NC State
  6. New York Giants (via CHI): Aidan Hutchinson, DE, Michigan
  7. New York Giants: Derek Stingley Jr, CB, LSU
  8. Atlanta Falcons: Carson Strong, QB, Nevada
  9. Carolina Panthers: Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh
  10. Minnesota Vikings: Ahmad Gardner, CB, Cincinatti
  11. New Orleans Saints: Garrett Wilson, WR, Ohio state
  12. Philadelphia Eagles: Nakobe Dean, LB, Georgia
  13. Philadelphia Eagle (via MIA): Trent Mcduffie, CB, Washington
  14. Denver Broncos: George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue
  15. Las Vegas Raiders: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
  16. Cleveland Browns: Devin Lloyd, LB, Utah
  17. Philadelphia Eagles (via IND): Treylon Burks, WR, Arkansas
  18. Pittsburgh Steelers: Tyler Linderbaum, C, Iowa
  19. Miami Dolphins (via SF): Charles Cross, OT, Mississippi State
  20. Washington Football Team: Roger McCreary, CB, Auburn
  21. Buffalo Bills: Drake Jackson, EDGE, USC
  22. Cincinnati Bengals: Sean Rhyan, IOL, UCLA
  23. Los Angeles Chargers: Jordan Davis, DT, Georgia
  24. Detroit Lions (via LAR): Kaiir Elam, CB, Florida
  25. Dallas Cowboys: Jaquan Brisker, S, Penn State
  26. Kansas City Chiefs: Daxton Hill, S, Michigan
  27. Baltimore Ravens: Darian Kinnard, IOL, Kentucky
  28. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Kyler Gordon, CB, Washington
  29. Tennessee Titans: Jermaine Johnson, EDGE, Florida State
  30. Green Bay Packers: Drake London, WR, USC
  31. New England Patriots: Christian Harris, LB, Alabama
  32. Arizona Cardinals: Logan Hall, DL, Houston

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